Supergroups generally last 3-4 years with some exceptions like BonJovi, Rolling Stones and Little Mix (All still going strong) to name but a few but who should reform?
Now that Fugees, Rage Against the Machine, and even ABBA are back, we gauge the likelihood of other defunct bands re-forming.
With everyone from the Fugees to ABBA reuniting, we place reunion odds on 18 other acts, from Led Zeppelin and Pink Floyd to One Direction and ‘NSync
Now that Fugees, Rage Against the Machine, and even ABBA are back, we gauge the likelihood of other defunct bands re-forming
REM
“We’re doing this for good reasons, and we end up looking back at all the fun, the joy and the incredible opportunities we had. … We needed to prove, not only to our fans and critics but to ourselves, that we could still make great records. And we made two. We thought, ‘We’ve done it. Now let’s do something no other band has done: Shake hands and walk away as friends.’”
Last Performance:The band wrapped up their 2008 world tour in Mexico City on November 18th, 2008. The following March they played “E-Bow the Letter” with Patti Smith at their own tribute concert at Carnegie Hall. The only reunion since then took place on July 13th, 2016 when Michael Stipe, Peter Buck, and Mike Mills played “Losing My Religion” at a private birthday party for their manager Bertis Downs in France.
Odds of a Reunion:The band says it’s never going to happen, but they all say that at first. Let’s see how they all feel in 10 years. Of course, they’ll be in their seventies by then. We’re going to say.
One Direction, One Direction reunnion, One Direction reunite, One Direction hiatus
Fleetwood Mac
0% Stevie Nicks and Lindsey Buckingham split as a couple before Fleetwood Mac cut Rumours in 1976, but they somehow managed to spend the next few decades, off and on, in the band together. Their fraught history created fantastic sparks of onstage tension that kept fans coming back tour after tour, but by 2018, Nicks had had enough and made it clear she wouldn’t continue in the band if Buckingham remained.
Last Performance: On January 26th, 2018, just as Fleetwood Mac were gearing up for a world tour, the Grammys honored the band with a tribute show at Radio City Music Hall. They played a mini set that ended, appropriately enough, with “Go Your Own Way.” Behind the scenes, Nicks was fuming because she felt that Buckingham had been disrespectful during her speech. When it was done, Nicks pledged never to work with him again.
Odds of a Reunion: Buckingham sued the band shortly after he was kicked out. They settled out of court, and Mick Fleetwood initially said a reunion would be impossible. But they got back in touch after Mac co-founder Peter Green died in July 2020 and repaired their friendship. The drummer says today he’s willing to take Buckingham back, but the decision will come down to Nicks. Things weren’t helped when Buckingham
But this is a band that has come back from far worse, and fans everywhere are praying for a farewell tour that unites the complete.’
One Direction
70% Hiatus or not they will be back with odds of 5/2 of a reunion, however Harry is flying with years worth of music and movies already lined-up.
Will the group will get back together in the near future? The mystery surrounding this question has recently gone through a change and things don’t look too good.
Harry Styles has been the talk of the town lately after it was revealed he will be joining the Marvel Cinematic Universe in the near future after it was reported he had a cameo in Eternals. Since One Direction broke up in 2015, the British star has been bolstering his CV by appearing in a number of films. He started off in Christopher Nolan’s wartime epic Dunkirk, and will soon be playing the main star of Olivia Wilde’s Don’t Worry Darling, opposite Black Widow’s Florence Pugh. This seems to have pushed chances of a band reunion to the side, however.
Liam, Louis and Niall are in all-in” said Mark Boardman , adding “but Zayn won’t be back”.
Former 1D star Liam Payne was recently quoted in saying the band’s reunion will surely happen.
“I am hoping we can do the same but all good things take time. Hopefully it will come back either bigger or better.”
“It’s bad news for Directioners; while we’ll soon be seeing more of Harry Styles on our screens, his busy schedule means a 1D reunion in the next 12 months now looks less likely than ever.”
It was recently reported that while the Watermelon Sugar singer has already cameoed in one MCU movie, he has signed on for even more.
The White Stripes
The band toured in 2007 behind their new album Icky Thump, but the final dates were called off due to drummer Meg White’s “acute anxiety problem.” They announced their split in February of 2011. “The reason is not due to artistic differences or lack of wanting to continue,” they said. “Nor any health issues as both Meg and Jack are feeling fine and in good health. It is for a myriad of reasons, but mostly to preserve what is beautiful and special about the band and have it stay that way. Both Meg and Jack hope this decision isn’t met with sorrow by their fans but that it is seen as a positive move done out of respect for the music that the band has created. It is also done with the utmost respect to those fans who’ve shared in those creations, with their feelings considered greatly.”
Last Performance:On February 20th, 2009, the White Stripes performed their 2002 song “We’re Going to Be Friends” on Conan O’Brien’s finalLate Nightshow before his disastrous takeover ofThe Tonight Show.Odds of a Reunion:They’re young enough that it seems likely their paths will cross again at some point down the road. Maybe they’ll headline Coachella in 2030. We’re going to put the odds of an eventual reunion at
NSync
60%‘ Why They Split:In 2002, Justin Timberlake realized that the boy-band craze was quickly coming to an end. He called for a group hiatus and began to focus on his solo career. The others thought about carrying on as a four-piece, but wisely decided against it. Meanwhile, Justin went on to a huge solo career and never looked back.
Last Performance:The full five-piece hasn’t performed since a brief reunion with Timberlake in 2013 when MTV gave him the Video Vanguard award. The non-Justin members, however, played “Break Up With Your Girlfriend, I’m Bored” with Ariana Grande at Coachella in 2019. headtopics.com
Odds of a Reunion:It seems like everyone in ‘NSync not named Justin Timberlake is thinking quite hard about a reunion tour these days. Even without their leader, the group could probably play very large venues and make quite a bit of money. So, the odds of a four-man reunion are probably somewhere around
The Smiths
80% and the odds a full reunion down at 40% The Smiths. Why They Split:The Smiths accomplished a lot during their five-year run, but when guitarist Johnny Marr quit the band in the summer of 1987 they simply couldn’t continue — despite a very brief attempt to soldier on with guitarist Ivor Perry.
Last Performance:The Smiths’ final show to date was at London’s Brixton Academy on December 12th, 1986. They finished the set with “Hand in Glove,” which was their first single just four years earlier.Odds of a Reunion:Relations within the Smiths have been extremely poor for quite some time, especially after drummer Mike Joyce sued Morrissey for royalties. Morrissey hates even being asked about the possibility of a reunion, famously saying that he’d rather “eat his own testicles” than perform with the band. Amazingly, Johnny Marr revealed in his 2016 memoir that he met with Morrissey in 2008 and talked about re-forming the band minus Joyce. It never went anywhere, but the mere fact that Morrissey was willing to think about makes us put this at
Oasis
10% Why They Split:Years of tension within Oasis finally reached a boiling point backstage at a Paris festival in August of 2009. Reports vary wildly about what happened, but the Gallagher brothers got into some sort of physical altercation and then refused to take the stage. The rest of the tour was canceled. “With some sadness and great relief I quit Oasis tonight,” Noel Gallagher said in a statement. “People will write and say what they like, but I simply could not go on working with Liam a day longer.”
Last Performance:The final gig took place August 22nd, 2009, at the V Festival in Weston England. The Paris fight was six days later.Odds of a Reunion:Unsurprisingly, the Gallagher brothers have varying takes on the prospect of coming back together. Liam would happily do it tomorrow, but Noel says he has little interest in ever seeing it happen. They’re both doing quite well touring on their own, but a reunion would pack stadiums around the world and net them a small fortune. It may take another decade or so, but odds of them doing it at some point down the line feel pretty likely.
Sonic Youth
80% Why They Split:This one is simple: Thurston Moore and Kim Gordon ended their marriage in 2011 and that was it for the band.Last performance:Sonic Youth last played live on November 12th, 2011, at the Parque Brasil 500, Paulínia, Brazil. The final song they did was their 1988 classic “Teen Age Riot.”
Sonny and Cher
0% Odds of a Reunion: still managed to do their variety shows years after they legally divorced. They probably didn’t love the idea, but money makes people do strange things. Moore and Gordon stand to make a ton should they ever decide to make the band happen again. We’ll say
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